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Background: Colorectal cancer is the most frequent gastrointestinal malignancy worldwide. The value of adjuvant treatment is controversial in Stages I and II. Objective: The aim of this study was to construct post-operative prognostic models applicable to patients with stages I-II colon carcinoma (CC). Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients with Stage I-II CC treated over a 25-year period. Exposure was defined as clinical, histopathological, and immunohistochemical factors (including CDX2 and MUC2 expression). Patients were randomly allocated to either a "modeling set" or a "validation set". Factors associated with recurrence, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) were defined in the "modeling set". Their performances were tested in the "validation set". Results: From a total of 556 recruited patients, 339 (61%) were allocated to the "modeling set" and 217 (39%) to the "validation set". Three models explaining recurrence, DFS, and OS were described. Tumor location in the left colon (Hazards ratio [HR] = 1.57; 95% Confidence interval [CI] 0.99-2.48), lymphocyte (HR = 0.46; 96% CI 0.27-0.88) and monocyte (HR = 0.99; 95% CI 0.99-1) counts, neutrophil/platelet ratio (HR = 1.3; 95% CI 0.74-2.3, and HR = 2.3; 95% CI 1.3-4.1; for second and third category, respectively), albumin/monocyte ratio (HR = 0.43; 95% CI 0.21-0.87), and microscopic residual disease after surgery (HR = 8.7; 95% CI 3.1-24) were independently associated with OS. T classification and expression of CDX2 and/or MUC2 were not independently associated with recurrence or prognosis. Conclusion: These models are simple and readily available, and distinguish the risk and prognosis in patients with CC stages I and II; these models require cheaper processes than the use of more sophisticated molecular biology techniques. They may guide either the need for adjuvant therapy versus post-operative surveillance only, as well as aid in the design of clinical trials.
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Carcinoma , Neoplasias do Colo , Humanos , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias do Colo/cirurgia , Neoplasias do Colo/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias do Colo/patologia , Carcinoma/patologia , Estadiamento de NeoplasiasRESUMO
ABSTRACT Background: Colorectal cancer is the most frequent gastrointestinal malignancy worldwide. The value of adjuvant treatment is controversial in Stages I and II. Objective: The aim of this study was to construct post-operative prognostic models applicable to patients with stages I-II colon carcinoma (CC). Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study of patients with Stage I-II CC treated over a 25-year period. Exposure was defined as clinical, histopathological, and immunohistochemical factors (including CDX2 and MUC2 expression). Patients were randomly allocated to either a "modeling set" or a "validation set". Factors associated with recurrence, disease-free survival (DFS), and overall survival (OS) were defined in the "modeling set". Their performances were tested in the "validation set". Results: From a total of 556 recruited patients, 339 (61%) were allocated to the "modeling set" and 217 (39%) to the "validation set". Three models explaining recurrence, DFS, and OS were described. Tumor location in the left colon (Hazards ratio [HR] = 1.57; 95% Confidence interval [CI] 0.99-2.48), lymphocyte (HR = 0.46; 96% CI 0.27-0.88) and monocyte (HR = 0.99; 95% CI 0.99-1) counts, neutrophil/platelet ratio (HR = 1.3; 95% CI 0.74-2.3, and HR = 2.3; 95% CI 1.3-4.1; for second and third category, respectively), albumin/monocyte ratio (HR = 0.43; 95% CI 0.21-0.87), and microscopic residual disease after surgery (HR = 8.7; 95% CI 3.1-24) were independently associated with OS. T classification and expression of CDX2 and/or MUC2 were not independently associated with recurrence or prognosis. Conclusion: These models are simple and readily available, and distinguish the risk and prognosis in patients with CC stages I and II; these models require cheaper processes than the use of more sophisticated molecular biology techniques. They may guide either the need for adjuvant therapy versus post-operative surveillance only, as well as aid in the design of clinical trials.
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BACKGROUND: The expression of liver kinase B1 (LKB-1) has been associated with prognosis in squamous cell carcinoma of the oral cavity (SCCOC). This study aimed to define the prognostic role of LKB-1 expression for patients with SCCOC and the suitability of its integration into a multivariate prognostic model. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of patients with SCCOC was conducted in a cancer center. Expression of LKB-1 was evaluated by immunohistochemistry, and multivariate analysis defined prognostic factors associated with recurrence, recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). The logistic regression model was used to construct a predictive computer software program. RESULTS: Of the 201 patients in this study, 104 (51.7%) experienced recurrence of their disease. Lower expression of LKB-1, high-risk histopathology, and advanced tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages were independent factors via multivariate analysis associated with the increased recurrence risk, poor RFS, and poor OS. If lack of LKB-1 expression is considered the reference category, the factors independently associated with recurrence were low (odds ratio [OR], 0.157; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.044-0.557), intermediate (OR, 0.073; 95% CI, 0.017-0.319), and intense (OR, 0.047; 95% CI, 0.007-0.304) expression of LKB-1. This model permitted construction of a computer software program capable of prediction with receiver operating characteristic analysis (area under the curve, 0.925) and led to the definition of five prognostic groups with a biologic gradient. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that LKB-1 expression in patients with SCCOC is of robust prognostic value and complements the TNM staging system. The proposed model requires external validation in prospective observational studies.
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INTRODUCTION: In patients with unresectable Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), the use of external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), leads mostly to palliation. Our aim is to define the role of upfront EBRT, followed or not by salvage surgery, on Progression-free survival (PFS) or Overall survival (OS) in patients with DTC. METHODS: This is a cohort study of patients with initially unresectable DTC who received EBRT. Cohort A received EBRT followed by rescue surgery and cohort B, EBRT only. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox model were employed for survival analysis. RESULTS: Thirty-three patients were included; 69.6% females and 30.3% males. Mean age was 60.6 and mean tumor diameter was 10.4 cm; 17 and 16 patients were included in cohorts A and B, respectively. Belonging to cohort A (Hazard ratio [HR] 0.177, 95% CI 0.05-0.7) and use of intensity modulated radiotherapy (HR 0.177, 95% CI 0.03-1.08) were associated to better PFS, while high-risk histopathology (HR 6.6, 95% CI 0.9-50) and EBRT dose (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.08) were independently associated with lower PFS. Patients from cohort A (HR 0.061, 95% CI 0.01-0.3) had improved OS, while high-risk histopathology (HR 5.7, 95% CI 1.1-28.6) and EBRT dose (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.09) were independently associated to worse OS. CONCLUSION: EBRT, and when feasible, salvage surgery, should be an integral part of the therapeutic strategy in initially unresectable DTC.
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Background: Patients treated for intermediate- or high-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) and Thyroglobulin (TG) elevation during follow-up, require a diagnostic whole-body scan (DWBS) and if positive, 131I treatment. This approach can lead to a delay in treatment and increased costs. The purpose of this study is to compare the oncologic outcomes associated to administration of direct therapy with 131I at first biochemical recurrence. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of patients with intermediate- or high-risk DTC treated with total thyroidectomy, 131I ablation and who developed TG elevation during follow-up, between January 2007 and December 2015. Cohort A included patients who underwent a DWBS with 5 mCi of 131I, and if negative an MRI and/or 18FDG PET-CT prior to the therapeutic dosage, and cohort B included those who only received a therapeutic dosage of 131I, without a DWBS or extensive image studies. Main outcomes were second recurrence (SR) and disease-free survival (DFS). The diagnostic accuracy of DWBS was analyzed. Results: Cohorts A and B had 74 and 41 patients, each. By multivariate analysis, age, differentiation grade, TN classification, ablation dose, and performed DWBS (odds ratio 55.1; 95% CI 11.3-269) were associated with SR (p < 0.0001); age, male gender, ablation dose and performed DWBS (hazard ratio 7.79; 95% CI 3.67-16.5) were independent factors associated with DFS (p < 0.0001). DWBS diagnostic accuracy was 36.48%. Conclusion: 131I treatment in patients with DTC biochemical recurrence and no DWBS or extensive image studies is associated with a significantly lower frequency of SR and an increased DFS. The diagnostic accuracy of DWBS is low, and its clinical efficiency should be defined in prospective phase III studies.
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BACKGROUND: The TNM classification does not completely reflect the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Several clinical factors have been used to increase its prognostic value, but factors pertaining to the patient's immunonutritional status have not usually been addressed. The aim of this study is to evaluate the role of Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and other well-known prognostic factors by multivariate analysis in a cohort of patients with CRC. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients with CRC managed in a cancer center between January 1992 and December 2016. Cox's model was used to define the association of the PNI and other factors with Overall survival (OS). RESULTS: A total of 3301 patients were included: 47.7% were female and 52.3% were male, with a mean age of 58.7 years. By bivariate analysis, PNI was strongly associated with OS (Risk ratio [RR] 0.968, 95% Confidence interval [CI] 0.962-0.974; P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, PNI was an independent explanatory variable (as continuous variable and as categorized variable; RR 0.732, 95% CI 0.611-0.878; RR 0.656, 95% CI 0.529-0.813 and RR 0.646, 95% CI 0.521-0.802, for quintiles 2, 3, and 4-5, respectively); a biological gradient effect was demonstrated. The final prognostic model included PNI, location of the neoplasia in the colorectum, basal hemoglobin, lymphocyte count, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, TNM stage, differentiation degree, R classification, and postoperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: PNI is a significant and independent prognostic factor in patients with CRC. Its prognostic value adds precision to the TNM staging system including specific subgroups of patients with CRC; it should be evaluated in prospective clinical studies.
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Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Estado Nutricional , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/mortalidade , Neoplasias Colorretais/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Avaliação Nutricional , Prognóstico , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto JovemRESUMO
The aim of the present study was to define the prognostic role of baseline serum albumin (BSA) in colorectal cancer (CRC) across tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages and other well defined prognostic factors. Many prognostic models in medicine employ BSA to define or refine treatments in very specific settings; in CRC, BSA has been found to be a prognostic factor as well. A retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients with CRC demonstrated by biopsy, who attended a cancer center during a 7-year period. Multivariate analysis was utilized to define prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) employing the Cox model. In this retrospective cohort study, 1465 patients were included; 46.6% were females and 53.4% males (mean age, 59.1 years). Mean BSA was inversely correlated with TNM stages. By multivariate analysis, it was an independent explanatory variable. TNM stages, "R" classification, age, lymphocyte count, neutrophil/platelet ratio, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, postoperative morbidity, and BSA were independently associated with OS. Morbidities, surgery type, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were considered confounders after adjusting by TNM stages. BSA is a significant and independent prognostic factor in patients with CRC, and its effect is maintained across TNM strata and other well known clinical prognostic factors. It can be easily used in prognostic models and should be employed to stratify prognosis in therapeutic randomized clinical trials.
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Neoplasias Colorretais/sangue , Albumina Sérica/análise , Adulto , Idoso , Biomarcadores Tumorais/sangue , Neoplasias Colorretais/mortalidade , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Contagem de Linfócitos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Neutrófilos , Contagem de Plaquetas , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Prognostic factors in oral cavity and oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) are debated. The purpose of this study was to investigate the association of prognostic factors with oncologic outcomes. METHODS: Patients with oral cavity and oropharyngeal SCC treated from 1997 to 2012 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Associations of prognostic factors with locoregional recurrence (LRR) or overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the logistic regression and the Cox models. RESULTS: Six hundred thirty-four patients were included in this study; tumor size, surgical margins, and N classification were associated with LRR (p < .0001); considering histopathology: perineural invasion, lymphocytic infiltration, infiltrative borders, and N classification were significant determinants of LRR. Tumor size, N classification, alcoholism, and surgical margins were associated with OS (p < .0001); considering pathologic prognostic factors, perivascular invasion, islands borders, and surgical margins were independently associated with OS (p < .0001). CONCLUSION: Surgical margins, perineural and perivascular invasion, lymphocytic infiltration, and infiltrative patterns of tumor invasion are significant prognostic factors in oral cavity and oropharyngeal SCC.