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AIMS: To external validate the SCORE2, AHA/ACC Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE), Framingham Risk Score (FRS), Non-Laboratory INTERHEART Risk Score (NL-IHRS), Globorisk-LAC, and WHO prediction models and compare their discrimination and calibration capacity. METHODS: Validation in individuals aged 40-69 years with at least 10 years follow-up and without baseline use of statins or cardiovascular diseases from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology prospective cohort study (PURE)-Colombia. For discrimination, the C-statistic, and Receiver Operating Characteristic curves with the integrated area under the curve (AUCi) were used and compared. For calibration, the smoothed time-to-event method was used, choosing a recalibration factor based on the integrated calibration index (ICI). In the NL-IHRS, linear regressions were used. RESULTS: In 3,802 participants (59.1% women), baseline risk ranged from 4.8% (SCORE2 women) to 55.7% (NL-IHRS). After a mean follow-up of 13.2 years, 234 events were reported (4.8 cases per 1000 person-years). The C-statistic ranged between 0.637 (0.601-0.672) in NL-IHRS and 0.767 (0.657-0.877) in AHA/ACC PCE. Discrimination was similar between AUCi. In women, higher overprediction was observed in the Globorisk-LAC (61%) and WHO (59%). In men, higher overprediction was observed in FRS (72%) and AHA/ACC PCE (71%). Overestimations were corrected after multiplying by a factor derived from the ICI. CONCLUSIONS: Six prediction models had a similar discrimination capacity, supporting their use after multiplying by a correction factor. If blood tests are unavailable, NL-IHRS is a reasonable option. Our results suggest that these models could be used in other countries of Latin America after correcting the overestimations with a multiplying factor.

Detecting people at high risk of cardiovascular disease and implementing preventive interventions in this population is a key strategy in primary prevention. Recently, new risk calculation tools have been developed, but before their application and routine use in populations different from those where it was developed, it's necessary to validate them. The recommendations for predicting cardiovascular risk in Colombia's guidelines are based on studies with noteworthy limitations. This study involving 3,802 healthy individuals in Colombia supports the recommendation of using these prediction models. The estimation result should be multiplied by a correction factor, because most of the prediction models overestimate cardiovascular risk. For example, the correction factors suggested in women for AHA/ACC PCE and SCORE2 are 0.54 and 0.75, respectively. In men, the correction factors suggested in AHA/ACC PCE and SCORE2 are 0.28 and 0.61, respectively. Therefore, the present study with a contemporary population provides additional evidence to update these recommendations in Colombia and perhaps in Latin America.

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PURPOSE: Acquired QT prolongation is frequent and leads to a higher mortality rate in critically ill patients. KardiaMobile 1L® (KM1L) is a portable, user-friendly single lead, mobile alternative to conventional 12-lead electrocardiogram (12-L ECG) that could be more readily available, potentially facilitating more frequent QTc assessments in intensive care units (ICU); however, there is currently no evidence to validate this potential use. METHODS: We conducted a prospective diagnostic test study comparing QT interval measurement using KM1L with conventional 12-L ECG ordered for any reason in patients admitted to an ICU. We compared the mean difference using a paired t-test, agreement using Bland-Altman analysis, and Lin's concordance coefficient, numerical precision (proportion of QT measurements with <10 ms difference between KM1L and conventional 12-L ECG), and clinical precision (concordance for adequate discrimination of prolonged QTc). RESULTS: We included 114 patients (61.4% men, 60% cardiovascular etiology of hospitalization) with 131 12-L ECG traces. We found no statistical difference between corrected QT measurements (427 ms vs. 428 ms, p = .308). Lin's concordance coefficient was 0.848 (95% CI 0.801-0.894, p = .001). Clinical precision was excellent in males and substantial in females (Kappa 0.837 and 0.781, respectively). Numerical precision was lower in patients with vasoactive drugs (-13.99 ms), QT-prolonging drugs (13.84 ms), antiarrhythmic drugs (-12.87 ms), and a heart rate (HR) difference of ≥5 beats per minute (bpm) between devices (-11.26 ms). CONCLUSION: Our study validates the clinical viability of KM1L, a single-lead mobile ECG device, for identifying prolonged QT intervals in ICU patients. Caution is warranted in patients with certain medical conditions that may affect numerical precision.

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Introduction: Uncomplicated Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients. Current guidelines recommend a minimum of 14 days of treatment. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of short versus usual antibiotic therapy in adults with uncomplicated S. aureus bacteremia (SAB). Methods: We developed a search strategy to identify systematic review and meta-analysis of non-randomized studies (NRS), comparing short versus usual or long antibiotic regimens for uncomplicated SAB in MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Register up to June 2023. The risk of bias was assessed using the ROBINS I tool. The meta-analysis was performed using Review Manager software with a random effect model. Results: Six NRS with a total of 1700 patients were included. No significant differences were found when comparing short versus prolonged antibiotic therapy as defined by the authors for 90-day mortality [odds ratio (OR): 1.09; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.82-1.46, p: 0.55; I2 = 0%] or 90-day recurrence or relapse of bacteremia [OR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.31-1.68, p: 0.45; I2 = 26%]. Sensitivity analysis showed similar results when comparing a predefined duration of <14 days versus ⩾14 days and when excluding the only study with a high risk of bias. Conclusion: Shorter-duration regimens could be considered as an alternative option for uncomplicated SAB in low-risk cases. However, based on a small number of studies with significant methodological limitations and risk of bias, the benefits and harms of shorter regimens should be analyzed with caution. Randomized clinical trials are needed to determine the best approach regarding the optimal duration of therapy.

Comparing short and regular antibiotic treatment duration, for a type of blood infection caused by S. aureus We investigated the optimal duration of antibiotic treatment for adults with a specific type of blood infection (uncomplicated Staphylococcus aureus), a condition with a significant global impact on mortality and costs. After a thorough search, only six trials involving 1700 patients were identified. We therefore decided to perform a meta-analysis (a type of statistical analysis). The results showed that the duration of antibiotics, whether short or long (less or more than 14 days), did not significantly affect mortality or recurrence of infection within 90 days. Consequently, we suggested that shorter courses of antibiotics might be appropriate for less severe cases. However, we emphasized caution because of the limitations of the studies. We recommended further research with improved methods to determine the optimal approach to treating this type of infection.

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BACKGROUND: This study investigated the characteristics associated with an increased risk of hypoglycemia, in elderly patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D) using automated insulin delivery (AID) systems. METHODS: Cross-sectional observational study including patients >60 years, using sensor-augmented insulin pump therapy with predictive low-glucose management (SAPT-PLGM), hybrid closed-loop (HCL), and advanced hybrid closed-loop (AHCL), for more than three months. A geriatric assessment was performed, and body composition was determined to investigate its association with achieving time below range (TBR) <70 mg/dL goals. RESULTS: The study included 59 patients (47.5% of men, mean age of 67.6 years, glycated hemoglobin [HbA1c] of 7.5 ± 0.6%, time in range (TIR) 77.8 ± 9.9%). Time below range <70 and <54 mg/dL were 2.2 ± 2.3% and 0.4 ± 0.81%, respectively. Patients with elevated TBR <70 mg/dL (>1%) had higher HbA1c levels, lower TIR, elevated time above range (TAR), and high glycemic variability. Regarding body composition, greater muscle mass, grip strength, and visceral fat were associated with a lower TBR <70 mg/dL. These factors were independent of the type of technology used, but TIR was higher when using AHCL systems compared with SAPT-PLGM and HCL systems. CONCLUSIONS: In elderly patients treated with AID systems with good functional status, lower lean mass, lower grip strength, and lower visceral fat percentage were associated with TBR greater than 1%, regardless of the device used. A similar finding along was found with CGM indicators such as higher HbA1c levels, lower TIR, higher TAR, and higher CV. Geriatric assessment is crucial for personalizing patient management.

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ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Neck circumference (NC) is a useful anthropometric measure for predicting obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). Ethnicity and sex also influence obesity phenotypes. NC cut-offs for defining OSA have not been established for the Latin American population. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate NC, waist circumference (WC), and body mass index (BMI) as predictors of OSA in the Colombian population and to determine optimal cut-off points. DESIGN AND SETTING: Diagnostic tests were conducted at the Javeriana University, Bogota. METHODS: Adults from three cities in Colombia were included. NC, WC, and BMI were measured, and a polysomnogram provided the reference standard. The discrimination capacity and best cut-off points for diagnosing OSA were calculated. RESULTS: 964 patients were included (57.7% men; median age, 58 years) and 43.4% had OSA. The discrimination capacity of NC was similar for men and women (area under curve, AUC 0.63 versus 0.66, P = 0.39) but better for women under 60 years old (AUC 0.69 versus 0.57, P < 0.05). WC had better discrimination capacity for women (AUC 0.69 versus 0.57, P < 0.001). There were no significant differences in BMI. Optimal NC cut-off points were 36.5 cm for women (sensitivity [S]: 71.7%, specificity [E]: 55.3%) and 41 cm for men (S: 56%, E: 62%); and for WC, 97 cm for women (S: 65%, E: 69%) and 99 cm for men (S: 53%, E: 58%). CONCLUSIONS: NC and WC have moderate discrimination capacities for diagnosing OSA. The cut-off values suggest differences between Latin- and North American as well as Asian populations.

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BACKGROUND: Neck circumference (NC) is a useful anthropometric measure for predicting obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). Ethnicity and sex also influence obesity phenotypes. NC cut-offs for defining OSA have not been established for the Latin American population. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate NC, waist circumference (WC), and body mass index (BMI) as predictors of OSA in the Colombian population and to determine optimal cut-off points. DESIGN AND SETTING: Diagnostic tests were conducted at the Javeriana University, Bogota. METHODS: Adults from three cities in Colombia were included. NC, WC, and BMI were measured, and a polysomnogram provided the reference standard. The discrimination capacity and best cut-off points for diagnosing OSA were calculated. RESULTS: 964 patients were included (57.7% men; median age, 58 years) and 43.4% had OSA. The discrimination capacity of NC was similar for men and women (area under curve, AUC 0.63 versus 0.66, P = 0.39) but better for women under 60 years old (AUC 0.69 versus 0.57, P < 0.05). WC had better discrimination capacity for women (AUC 0.69 versus 0.57, P < 0.001). There were no significant differences in BMI. Optimal NC cut-off points were 36.5 cm for women (sensitivity [S]: 71.7%, specificity [E]: 55.3%) and 41 cm for men (S: 56%, E: 62%); and for WC, 97 cm for women (S: 65%, E: 69%) and 99 cm for men (S: 53%, E: 58%). CONCLUSIONS: NC and WC have moderate discrimination capacities for diagnosing OSA. The cut-off values suggest differences between Latin- and North American as well as Asian populations.

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Introduction: Two parameters of high-resolution esophageal manometry are used to observe the function of the esophagogastric junction (EGJ): the anatomical morphology of the EGJ and contractile vigor, which is evaluated with the esophagogastric junction contractile integral (EGJ-CI). To date, how these parameters behave in different gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) phenotypes has not been evaluated. Materials and methods: An analytical observational study evaluated patients with GERD confirmed by pH-impedance testing and endoscopy undergoing high-resolution esophageal manometry. The anatomical morphology of the EGJ and EGJ-CI was assessed and compared between reflux phenotypes: acid, non-acid, erosive, and non-erosive. Results: 72 patients were included (63% women, mean age: 54.9 years), 81.9% with acid reflux and 25% with erosive esophagitis. In the latter, a decrease in EGJ-CI (median: 15.1 vs. 23, p = 0.04) and a more significant proportion of patients with type IIIa and IIIb EGJ (83.3% vs 37.1%, p < 0.01) were found. No significant differences existed in the manometric parameters of patients with and without acid and non-acid reflux. Conclusion: In our population, EGJ-CI significantly decreased in patients with erosive GERD, suggesting that it could be used to predict this condition in patients with GERD. This finding is also related to a higher proportion of type III EGJ and lower pressure at end-inspiration of the lower esophageal sphincter in this reflux type.

Introducción: Para observar la función de la unión esofagogástrica (UEG) se utilizan dos parámetros de la manometría esofágica de alta resolución: la morfología anatómica de la UEG y el vigor contráctil, el cual se evalúa con la integral de contractilidad distal de la unión esofagogástrica (IC-UEG). Hasta el momento, no se ha evaluado cómo se comportan estos parámetros en los diferentes fenotipos de enfermedad por reflujo gastroesofágico (ERGE). Metodología: Estudio observacional analítico en el que se evaluaron pacientes con ERGE confirmado por pH-impedanciometría y endoscopia, llevados a manometría esofágica de alta resolución. Se evaluó la morfología anatómica de la UEG y la IC-UEG, y se comparó entre los diferentes fenotipos de reflujo: ácido, no ácido, erosivo y no erosivo. Resultados: Se incluyó a 72 pacientes (63% mujeres, edad media: 54,9 años), 81,9% con reflujo ácido y 25% con esofagitis erosiva. En este último grupo se encontró una disminución de la IC-UEG (mediana: 15,1 frente a 23, p = 0,04) y una mayor proporción de pacientes con UEG tipo IIIa y IIIb (83,3% frente a 37,1%, p < 0,01). No se encontraron diferencias significativas en los parámetros manométricos de los pacientes con y sin reflujo ácido y no ácido. Conclusión: En nuestra población, la IC-UEG estuvo significativamente disminuida en los pacientes con ERGE erosivo, lo que sugiere que podría ser utilizada como un predictor de esta condición en pacientes con ERGE. Este hallazgo también se relaciona con mayor proporción de UGE tipo III y menor presión al final de la inspiración del esfínter esofágico inferior en este tipo de reflujo.

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BACKGROUND: Evidence regarding the implementation of medium-term strategies in advanced hybrid closed-loop (AHCL) system users is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to describe the efficacy and safety of the AHCL system in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) on a six-month follow-up in a virtual diabetes clinic (VDC). METHOD: A prospective cohort of adult patients with T1D treated using the AHCL system (Mini Med 780G; Medtronic, Northridge, California) in a VDC follow-up. Standardized training and follow-up were conducted virtually. Clinical data and metabolic control outcomes were reported at baseline, and at three and six months. RESULTS: Sixty-four patients (mean age = 42 ± 14.6 years, 65% men, 54% with graduate education) were included. Percentage time in range (%TIR) increased significantly regardless of prior therapy with intermittently scanned continuous glucose monitoring + multiple daily injections and sensor-augmented pump therapy with predictive low-glucose management after starting AHCL and persisted during the follow-up period with no hypoglycemic events. The %TIR 70 to 180 mg/dL according to socioeconomic strata was 73.4% ± 5.3%, 78.1% ± 8.1%, and 84.2% ± 7.5% for the lower, middle, and upper strata, respectively. The sensor was used more frequently in the population with a higher education level. Adherence to sensor use and SmartGuard retention were higher in patients who underwent the VDC follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Medium-term follow-up of users of AHCL systems in a VDC contributes to safely achieving %TIR goals. Virtual diabetes clinic follow-up favored adherence to sensor use and continuous SmartGuard use. Socioeconomic strata were associated with a better glycemic profile and education level was associated with better adherence to sensor use.

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Introduction: Dynamic changes in liver function tests have been proposed to correctly reclassify the risk of choledocholithiasis; however, information is scarce and insufficient to recommend its use. Methods: Retrospective cohort of patients undergoing endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) due to moderate and high risk of choledocholithiasis according to the 2019 American Society of Gastrointestinal Endoscopy (ASGE) guidelines. We evaluated whether significant changes in liver function tests (bilirubin, transaminases, or alkaline phosphatase), defined as an increase or a reduction ⩾30 or ⩾50% between two measurements taken with a difference of 24-72 h can correctly reclassify the risk of choledocholithiasis beyond the ASGE guidelines. The net reclassification index (NRI) was calculated for patients with and without choledocholithiasis. Results: Among 1175 patients who underwent ERCP, 170 patients were included in the analysis (59.4% women, median 59.5 years). Among patients without a diagnosis of choledocholithiasis, the number of patients correctly reclassified by transaminases was slightly higher than those incorrectly reclassified (NRI = 0.24 for aspartate amino transaminase and 0.20 for alanine amino transaminase). However, among patients with a diagnosis of choledocholithiasis, it led to incorrect reclassification in a greater number of cases (NRI = -0.21 and -0.14, respectively). The benefits of reclassification were minimal for bilirubin and alkaline phosphatase, or for value changes >50%. A subgroup analysis showed similar findings in patients without a history of cholecystectomy and in those with normal bile duct. Conclusion: Dynamic changes in liver function tests do not improve choledocholithiasis risk classification beyond the 2019 ASGE criteria. New criteria should continue to be sought to optimize risk stratification.

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OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors for nonresponse to prone positioning in mechanically ventilated patients with COVID-19-associated severe acute respiratory distress syndrome and refractory hypoxemia in a tertiary care hospital in Colombia. METHODS: Observational study based on a retrospective cohort of mechanically ventilated patients with severe acute respiratory distress syndrome due to SARS-CoV-2 who underwent prone positioning due to refractory hypoxemia. The study considered an improvement ≥ 20% in the PaO2/FiO2 ratio after the first cycle of 16 hours in the prone position to be a 'response'. Nonresponding patients were considered cases, and responding patients were controls. We controlled for clinical, laboratory, and radiological variables. RESULTS: A total of 724 patients were included (58.67 ± 12.37 years, 67.7% males). Of those, 21.9% were nonresponders. Mortality was 54.1% for nonresponders and 31.3% for responders (p < 0.001). Variables associated with nonresponse were time from the start of mechanical ventilation to pronation (OR 1.23; 95%CI 1.10 - 1.41); preintubation PaO2/FiO2 ratio (OR 0.62; 95%CI 0.40 - 0.96); preprone PaO2/FiO2 ratio (OR 1.88. 95%CI 1.22 - 2.94); and radiologic multilobe consolidation (OR 2.12; 95%CI 1.33 - 3.33) or mixed pattern (OR 1.72; 95%CI 1.07 - 2.85) compared with a ground-glass pattern. CONCLUSION: This study identified factors associated with nonresponse to prone positioning in patients with refractory hypoxemia and acute respiratory distress syndrome due to SARS-CoV-2 receiving mechanical ventilation. Recognizing such factors helps identify candidates for other rescue strategies, including more extensive prone positioning or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Further studies are needed to assess the consistency of these findings in populations with acute respiratory distress syndrome of other etiologies.

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