RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The prognosis of patients with left-sided endocarditis remains poor despite the progress of surgical techniques. Identification of high-risk patients within the first days after admission to the hospital would permit a more aggressive therapeutic approach. METHODS: We designed a prospective multicenter study to find out the clinical, microbiologic, and echocardiographic characteristics available within 72 hours of admission that might define the profile of high-risk patients. Of 444 episodes, 317 left-sided endocarditis cases were included and 76 variables were assessed. Events were surgery in the active phase of the disease and in-hospital death. A stepwise logistic regression analysis was undertaken to determine variables predictive of events. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis of the clinical variables found to have statistical significance in the univariate analysis identified the following as predictive: patient referred from another hospital (odds ratio [OR]: 1.8; confidence interval [CI], 1.1-2.9), atrioventricular block (OR: 2.5; CI, 1.1-5.9), acute onset (OR: 1.7; CI, 1.1-2.9), and heart failure at admission (OR: 2.3; CI, 1.4-3.8). When the echocardiographic and microbiological variables statistically significant in the univariate analysis were introduced, the presence of heart failure at admission (OR: 2.9; CI, 1.8-4.8), periannular complications (OR: 1.8; CI, 1.1-3.1), and Staphylococcus aureus infection (OR: 2.0; CI, 1.1-3.8) retained prognostic power. Risk could be accurately stratified when combining the 3 variables with predictive power: 0 variables present: 25% of risk; 1 variable present: 38% to 49% of risk; 2 variables present: 56% to 66% of risk; and 3 variables present: 79% of risk. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of patients with left-sided endocarditis can be accurately stratified with the assessment of variables easily available within 72 hours of admission to the hospital.
Assuntos
Endocardite/diagnóstico , Endocardite/epidemiologia , Admissão do Paciente , Argentina/epidemiologia , Causas de Morte , Endocardite/classificação , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Espanha/epidemiologia , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to analyze the predictive value of different anatomic echocardiographic findings for diagnosis of prosthetic endocarditis. BACKGROUND: Prognosis in endocarditis has improved in recent years after the wide acceptance of new clinical diagnostic criteria. One of the most important issues in clinical diagnosis is to use echocardiography for identification of endocardial involvement, but prosthetic material impairs echo quality. METHODS: In all, 49 patients with 58 episodes of suggested prosthetic endocarditis were prospectively studied using transthoracic and transesophageal echocardiography. The patients were divided into two groups: group A, patients with 34 episodes of definite endocarditis according to Durack's criteria; and group B, patients with 24 episodes who were eventually classified as not having endocarditis, either by surgical exploration or by a mean of 32.6 months (range: 8-38 months) of follow-up. RESULTS: In group A, valve dehiscence was observed in 4 episodes of suggested endocarditis, pseudoaneurysms in 3, fistulae in 2, and moderate to severe perivalvular regurgitation in 15. No patient in group B had these abnormalities (P <.001). Vegetations were present in 17 episodes in group A (50%) versus 1 in group B (9%; P <.001); perivalvular abscesses were seen in 19 episodes in group A (56%) versus 1 in group B (P <.001). Mild perivalvular regurgitation was observed in only 1 episode for group A (3%) and in 14 episodes for group B (58%; P <.01). The presence of any of the above echocardiographic finding, when used in combination with the exclusion of mild perivalvular regurgitation, had a positive and negative predictive value for diagnosing endocarditis of 94% and 96%, respectively. Isolated mild perivalvular regurgitation had a poor positive predictive value (6%). CONCLUSION: Isolated mild perivalvular regurgitation should not be used as diagnostic criteria in patients with suggested prosthetic valve endocarditis.