RESUMO

Genomic prediction relates a set of markers to variability in observed phenotypes of cultivars and allows for the prediction of phenotypes or breeding values of genotypes on unobserved individuals. Most genomic prediction approaches predict breeding values based solely on additive effects. However, the economic value of wheat lines is not only influenced by their additive component but also encompasses a non-additive part (e.g., additive × additive epistasis interaction). In this study, genomic prediction models were implemented in three target populations of environments (TPE) in South Asia. Four models that incorporate genotype × environment interaction (G × E) and genotype × genotype (GG) were tested: Factor Analytic (FA), FA with genomic relationship matrix (FA + G), FA with epistatic relationship matrix (FA + GG), and FA with both genomic and epistatic relationship matrices (FA + G + GG). Results show that the FA + G and FA + G + GG models displayed the best and a similar performance across all tests, leading us to infer that the FA + G model effectively captures certain epistatic effects. The wheat lines tested in sites in different TPE were predicted with different precisions depending on the cross-validation employed. In general, the best prediction accuracy was obtained when some lines were observed in some sites of particular TPEs and the worse genomic prediction was observed when wheat lines were never observed in any site of one TPE.

Assuntos

RESUMO

In the field of plant breeding, various machine learning models have been developed and studied to evaluate the genomic prediction (GP) accuracy of unseen phenotypes. Deep learning has shown promise. However, most studies on deep learning in plant breeding have been limited to small datasets, and only a few have explored its application in moderate-sized datasets. In this study, we aimed to address this limitation by utilizing a moderately large dataset. We examined the performance of a deep learning (DL) model and compared it with the widely used and powerful best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) model. The goal was to assess the GP accuracy in the context of a five-fold cross-validation strategy and when predicting complete environments using the DL model. The results revealed the DL model outperformed the GBLUP model in terms of GP accuracy for two out of the five included traits in the five-fold cross-validation strategy, with similar results in the other traits. This indicates the superiority of the DL model in predicting these specific traits. Furthermore, when predicting complete environments using the leave-one-environment-out (LOEO) approach, the DL model demonstrated competitive performance. It is worth noting that the DL model employed in this study extends a previously proposed multi-modal DL model, which had been primarily applied to image data but with small datasets. By utilizing a moderately large dataset, we were able to evaluate the performance and potential of the DL model in a context with more information and challenging scenario in plant breeding.

RESUMO

Genomic selection is revolutionizing plant breeding. However, its practical implementation is still very challenging, since predicted values do not necessarily have high correspondence to the observed phenotypic values. When the goal is to predict within-family, it is not always possible to obtain reasonable accuracies, which is of paramount importance to improve the selection process. For this reason, in this research, we propose the Adversaria-Boruta (AB) method, which combines the virtues of the adversarial validation (AV) method and the Boruta feature selection method. The AB method operates primarily by minimizing the disparity between training and testing distributions. This is accomplished by reducing the weight assigned to markers that display the most significant differences between the training and testing sets. Therefore, the AB method built a weighted genomic relationship matrix that is implemented with the genomic best linear unbiased predictor (GBLUP) model. The proposed AB method is compared using 12 real data sets with the GBLUP model that uses a nonweighted genomic relationship matrix. Our results show that the proposed AB method outperforms the GBLUP by 8.6, 19.7, and 9.8% in terms of Pearson's correlation, mean square error, and normalized root mean square error, respectively. Our results support that the proposed AB method is a useful tool to improve the prediction accuracy of a complete family, however, we encourage other investigators to evaluate the AB method to increase the empirical evidence of its potential.

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RESUMO

Genomic selection (GS) plays a pivotal role in hybrid prediction. It can enhance the selection of parental lines, accurately predict hybrid performance, and harness hybrid vigor. Likewise, it can optimize breeding strategies by reducing field trial requirements, expediting hybrid development, facilitating targeted trait improvement, and enhancing adaptability to diverse environments. Leveraging genomic information empowers breeders to make informed decisions and significantly improve the efficiency and success rate of hybrid breeding programs. In order to improve the genomic ability performance, we explored the incorporation of parental phenotypic information as covariates under a multi-trait framework. Approach 1, referred to as Pmean, directly utilized parental phenotypic information without any preprocessing. While approach 2, denoted as BV, replaced the direct use of phenotypic values of both parents with their respective breeding values. While an improvement in prediction performance was observed in both approaches, with a minimum 4.24% reduction in the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), the direct incorporation of parental phenotypic information in the Pmean approach slightly outperformed the BV approach. We also compared these two approaches using linear and nonlinear kernels, but no relevant gain was observed. Finally, our results increase empirical evidence confirming that the integration of parental phenotypic information helps increase the prediction performance of hybrids.

Assuntos

RESUMO

Introduction: Genomic selection (GS) has gained global importance due to its potential to accelerate genetic progress and improve the efficiency of breeding programs. Objectives of the research: In this research we proposed a method to improve the prediction accuracy of tested lines in new (untested) environments. Method-1: The new method trained the model with a modified response variable (a difference of response variables) that decreases the lack of a non-stationary distribution between the training and testing and improved the prediction accuracy. Comparing new and conventional method: We compared the prediction accuracy of the conventional genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) model (M1) including (or not) genotype × environment interaction (GE) (M1_GE; M1_NO_GE) versus the proposed method (M2) on several data sets. Results and discussion: The gain in prediction accuracy of M2, versus M1_GE, M1_NO_GE in terms of Pearson´s correlation was of at least 4.3%, while in terms of percentage of top-yielding lines captured when was selected the 10% (Best10) and 20% (Best20) of lines was at least of 19.5%, while in terms of Normalized Root Mean Squared Error (NRMSE) was of at least of 42.29%.