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Effectiveness of mass dengue vaccination with CYD-TDV (Dengvaxia®) in the state of Paraná, Brazil: integrating case-cohort and case-control designs.
Diaz-Quijano, Fredi Alexander; Siqueira de Carvalho, Denise; Raboni, Sonia Mara; Shimakura, Silvia Emiko; Maron de Mello, Angela; Vieira da Costa-Ribeiro, Magda Clara; Silva, Lineu; da Cruz Magalhães Buffon, Marilene; Cesario Pereira Maluf, Eliane Mara; Graeff, Gabriel; Almeida, Gustavo; Preto, Clara; Luhm, Karin Regina.
Afiliação
  • Diaz-Quijano FA; Department of Epidemiology, Laboratory of Causal Inference in Epidemiology - LINCE-USP, School of Public Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
  • Siqueira de Carvalho D; Department of Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Raboni SM; Department of Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Shimakura SE; Department of Statistics, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Maron de Mello A; Postgraduate Program in Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Vieira da Costa-Ribeiro MC; Health Ministry, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Silva L; Postgraduate Program in Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • da Cruz Magalhães Buffon M; Department of Basic Pathology and Postgraduate Program in Microbiology, Parasitology and Pathology, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Cesario Pereira Maluf EM; Department of Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Graeff G; Department of Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Almeida G; Department of Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Preto C; Foundation of the Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
  • Luhm KR; Postgraduate Program in Public Health, Federal University of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 35: 100777, 2024 Jul.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38807985
ABSTRACT

Background:

CYD-TDV (Dengvaxia®) was the first dengue vaccine approved, launched in Brazil in 2015 for individuals aged 9-44 years. We aimed to estimate the effectiveness of CYD-TDV in preventing symptomatic dengue cases during a campaign targeting individuals aged 15-27 years in selected municipalities in Paraná, Brazil. Additionally, we examined whether a history of dengue, as recorded by the surveillance system, modified the vaccine's effectiveness.

Methods:

We conducted a case-cohort analysis comparing the frequency of vaccination, with at least one dose of CYD-TDV, in individuals with dengue confirmed by RT-PCR, identified by the surveillance system during 2019 and 2020, with the vaccination coverage in the target population. Moreover, in a case-control design using weighted controls, we assessed the documented history of dengue as a modifier of the vaccine's effectiveness. We used a logistic random-effects regression model, with data clustered in municipalities and incorporating covariates such as the incidence of dengue before the campaign, age, and sex. We calculated vaccine effectiveness (VE) as (1-relative risk) x 100%.

Findings:

1869 dengue cases were identified, which had a vaccination frequency significantly lower than the overall vaccination coverage in the target population (50.3% vs. 57.2%, respectively; overall VE 21.3%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 13.4%-28.4%). In individuals with a documented history of dengue, vaccination had a VE of 71% (95% CI 58%-80%) in reducing the incidence of dengue. However, vaccination was not associated with a significant reduction in the overall dengue case risk in individuals without a documented history of dengue (VE 12%; 95% CI -21% to 36%). In this last stratum, vaccination was associated with reduced cases due to DENV-1 and DENV-4, but an excess of DENV-2 cases.

Interpretation:

Vaccination led to a significant reduction in reported dengue cases within the target population. The case-control design suggested that this reduction was primarily driven by the benefits observed in individuals with a documented history of dengue. In endemic regions with limited serological testing facilities, a previous history of dengue diagnosis recorded by epidemiological surveillance could be used to triage candidates for CYD-TDV vaccination.

Funding:

Research supported by Sanofi.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Lancet Reg Health Am Ano de publicação: 2024 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Lancet Reg Health Am Ano de publicação: 2024 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: Reino Unido